@KatieJStrang @CraigCustance Here is info re: P. 1, etc. Initial Manaus study overstated infection. Other studies show T-cell response--pre-existing, prior infection, or vaccine--to wild type, variants. Understand some concern but needs to be balanced w/da
( re-up of March 4 tweet) ---- 75% Sars-CoV-2 attack rate was estimated for Manaus by Buss et al. (2021) [https://t.co/P7fapA6aYt]. They applied complex corrections for convenience blood sampling and waning antibodies. ---- Do independent data support thi
@The_Face_of_Rio @dogarrett @NIH Papo de Science: https://t.co/VGlTNfEzAG
@laikatornaacasa @sbruffino Allude alla capacità di P1 di reinfettare, valutata sulla base di una sieroprevalenza altissima (76%), stimata in blood donors, con dei possibili grandi bias. Però per lui niente complessità, niente incognite. Solo tanta sicumer
@tskould @rfsquared @CDCDirector You just got obsessed with P.1 it seems. CA was on knees in Dec and it was not P1 virus. When you don't vaccinate, the virus puts you on the knees. But Manaus was nowhere near herd immunity...fyi https://t.co/FuXKJsMOB3
@Calpalwatchtv @carlos_jb_paz @dirk_diggler0 Thread excelente em relação ao tema, parte 1 : https://t.co/j17DGucTeT
@Cameron03482305 @pfczak @UKCovid19Stats Manaus is a terrible example because the attack is nowhere near what the article claims. This is awful ‘science’ https://t.co/dfHjp1zINY https://t.co/KrwMXCbCGT
RT @AtomsksSanakan: 34/J The Brazil "1%" IFR study is peer-reviewed, as are others https://t.co/hYxaLXIFPK https://t.co/hqfTdsZAzQ #12 ov…
34/J The Brazil "1%" IFR study is peer-reviewed, as are others https://t.co/hYxaLXIFPK https://t.co/hqfTdsZAzQ #12 overlaps with 0% seroprevalence 🤦♂️ https://t.co/y7I5f9mDNL #54 is non-representative sampling of blood donors https://t.co/7EWetsUvJO ht
RT @DrEricDing: 2) Brazil has been hit really hard already. In Oct 2020, someone estimated Manaus 🇧🇷 already have hit potentially 76% alrea…
@McCormackJohn The study on which this “Manaus had reached herd immunity” claim is based on is **extremely** flawed. It was not a random sample and better studies have found an attack rate below 30% instead of the widely cited 70%+ More info here
RT @observatorio14: @Marichu321 Da igual eso. El tema es que aún no terminada la pandemia y este ya sabemos pasará como uno de los estudios…
@Marichu321 Da igual eso. El tema es que aún no terminada la pandemia y este ya sabemos pasará como uno de los estudios más pésimos y vergonzantes de lo que se han llegado a publicar. Y son muchos https://t.co/XAsWOZvc9h
RT @IvetaBuike: Sliktas ziņas par "pūļa imunitāti": Brazīlijas Manaus 3/4 iedzīvotāju izslimoja #Covid19. Šobrīd tur ir liels vīrusa uzlies…
RT @KamradLegasov: No. No hay ni un gramo se evidencia de eso. Dejen se agitar Apocalipsis. Es más contagiosa y podría saltarse defensas ad…
RT @KamradLegasov: No. No hay ni un gramo se evidencia de eso. Dejen se agitar Apocalipsis. Es más contagiosa y podría saltarse defensas ad…
No. No hay ni un gramo se evidencia de eso. Dejen se agitar Apocalipsis. Es más contagiosa y podría saltarse defensas adquiridas por haber sido expuesto a la cepa original. Paren un poquito de tratar de vender diarios. https://t.co/cwmNZTlj5r https://t.co
@jpdleblanc @EricTopol 15% would make the IFR early on far too high. I realize there is disagreement about the 70% figure, but the IFR from the first wave would have to be about more than 4x higher than expected for only 15% to have been infected. https://
שרשור מטריד ממנאוס ,ברזיל. מודגם שהואריאנט המקומי שהתפרץ בדצמבר אחר חצי שנה של שקט יחסי שם ושהחסינות אליו כנראה חלקית, ממשיך להתפשט לערים במורד האמזונס(סנטה רם). אל תחגגו אנשים טובים. הכל עניין של זמן.
@cragcrest @NatureNews @bmaher Excellent article. Side note: numbers in cited article on Manaus herd immunity https://t.co/A10jV5l58g based on bad modeling assumptions, as shown by @WesPegden from CMU https://t.co/dxNn81bv5q Also: Hard Lessons of Modeli
@VirusesImmunity No question that matched vaccines are “better”. A few things: 1 We can’t change mRNA vaccines every time a variant shows slightly decreased Neut titres. 2 I wouldn’t make global decisions based on one Lancet article (see MMR vaccine). Ther
ブラジルで起きていることは、注意すべきことです。Science誌に掲載された研究によると、5月から10月にかけてマナウス市で発生したCOVID-19の減速は、集団免疫効果によるものではないかと考えられています。 https://t.co/2QpJ1rWHSw 24/n
RT @WesPegden: The following study is being widely shared as definitive evidence that 76% of the population of Manaus, Brazil, became infec…
Tämän tutkimuksen mukaan yli 70 prosenttia manauslaisista oli sairastanut koronavirustaudin. Myöhemmin tullut myös tutkimuksia, että kuolemantapaukset aliarvioitu; erityisesti Manauksessa. https://t.co/GnF9pdAo9c
@leandrotessler @PauloLotufo 76% da população de Manaus teria entrado em contato com o novo coronavírus e possuía anticorpos no sangue, segundo este estudo publicado na Science.O governo Bolsonaro plantou uma teoria fajuta de imunidade de rebanho e colheu
RT @DiseaseEcology: Immune evasion & re-infections is key part of story told by @nmrfaria @carlzimmer. Paper suggests seroprevalence was ~1…
@DVHeld @LPMississippi Eg. Manaus last spring suffered an outbreak last that infected an estimated 3 quarters of the population. The healthcare system completely collapsed and many victims had to be buried in mass graves because cemeteries were overwhelmed
What it takes to achieve natural herd immunity... a price too high to pay - read about 75% infection of #covid in the Brazilian Amazon #Science #recovery https://t.co/aiL97VL1It
Sars 2 Brazil https://t.co/081f3AqOyr
RT @jburnmurdoch: (For more on Manaus, see @WesPegden’s debunking of one study that claimed antibody prevalence of 76% there https://t.co/U…
@MartinJuhl2 @AndersFomsgaard @MarcelFard @tv2nyhederne @RasmusTantholdt 2/2 at Manaus havde stor mangel på ilt også i første bølge og forfærdelige hospitalsforhold. Men synes egentlig at den her “gamle” tråd er rigtig informativ.
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…
RT @WesPegden: @CT_Bergstrom @avtansh @GidMK I'm happy you've remained blissfully ignorant of the ongoing impact of this paper on current s…
@CT_Bergstrom @avtansh @GidMK I'm happy you've remained blissfully ignorant of the ongoing impact of this paper on current scientific discourse and understanding! I can assure you it is alive and well. I wrote this way back. A few more people callin' bu
Debido a... TODO esto...
what was the COVID infection rate in Manaus Brazil before the 2nd wave? This thread argues it was a high percentage. (implying the 2nd wave is driven by re-infections) https://t.co/EAbklhUEG7
@alchemytoday @VPrasadMDMPH @CT_Bergstrom Exactly and therefore this is an inappropriate conclusion: https://t.co/SRAQk1fegN which has been used to say that 75% of the population was exposed to the virus
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…
RT @DGBassani Thread discussing the debated Manaus’ high attack rate reported by Buss et. al. In comparison with four independent data sources. https://t.co/zqlSROELSq https://t.co/Zq9XI88n0K https://t.co/yBQUXta2uE https://t.co/a50WHjhveA
RT @DGBassani: Thread discussing the debated Manaus’ high attack rate reported by Buss et. al. In comparison with four independent data sou…
RT @DGBassani: Thread discussing the debated Manaus’ high attack rate reported by Buss et. al. In comparison with four independent data sou…
RT @DGBassani: Thread discussing the debated Manaus’ high attack rate reported by Buss et. al. In comparison with four independent data sou…
Thread discussing the debated Manaus’ high attack rate reported by Buss et. al. In comparison with four independent data sources.
RT @RaquelDiazMart6: @ccarballo50 Para la brasileña se está empezando a hablar de 44 días 🤦🤦😭😭 https://t.co/rb9HlQIRpS
RT @RaquelDiazMart6: @ccarballo50 Para la brasileña se está empezando a hablar de 44 días 🤦🤦😭😭 https://t.co/rb9HlQIRpS
@AsafRonel @TheLancet @ScienceMagazine לא חושב שזה נכון. המתודולוגיה של המחקר מהלנסט נראית לי יותר נקייה ורנדומלית מאשר זו של המחקר בסיינס, ו-״החברים״ שלי כבר כתבו על זה יותר לעניין. אגב, הועלו טענות למחקר ״שלך״ שהוא הוביל לנאיביות בקרב התושבים, שהוביל להד
@gabayd @BenDror4 ה- 75% חולים התקבל ללא כל עוררין על ידי קבוצה גדולה מאוד של אנשים (בכל המחנות) ללא שום ביקורת. ממליץ בחום על הבחור ועל השרשור: https://t.co/9FPik7pT5D
@Hofmann43 כמו כל מאמר של נראטיב הקוקורונה, גם המאמר הזה הוא אשפה אקדמית. הנה הסבר https://t.co/5RduZPV3jz
@SilverVVulpes That model is based on very sketchy data. To put it mildly. Likelihood doesn't really increase by the fact that Iquitos is not experiencing a similar second wave with the same variant present. https://t.co/0ZBeV8Iaad
Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic https://t.co/uJi95J3aKm
RT @DrEricDing: 2) Brazil has been hit really hard already. In Oct 2020, someone estimated Manaus 🇧🇷 already have hit potentially 76% alrea…
RT @RaquelDiazMart6: @ccarballo50 Para la brasileña se está empezando a hablar de 44 días 🤦🤦😭😭 https://t.co/rb9HlQIRpS
RT @RaquelDiazMart6: @ccarballo50 Para la brasileña se está empezando a hablar de 44 días 🤦🤦😭😭 https://t.co/rb9HlQIRpS
RT @RaquelDiazMart6: @ccarballo50 Para la brasileña se está empezando a hablar de 44 días 🤦🤦😭😭 https://t.co/rb9HlQIRpS
@ccarballo50 Para la brasileña se está empezando a hablar de 44 días 🤦🤦😭😭 https://t.co/rb9HlQIRpS
@dagsvanaes @svaar Angående Manaus
@florian_krammer @DrZoeHyde This thread is worth a read if you haven’t seen it yet. https://t.co/p63GUAxWrE
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
- 302 b - #HiloxaxoPandemia2021 El estudio anterior sobre algunos puntos de la seroprevalencia ha sido criticado (por ello puse prudencia) pero hay otros datos que lo respaldan tal como se indica aquí⬇️(q tbn son criticados) Vigilemos los brotes P.1
RT @WesPegden: The following study is being widely shared as definitive evidence that 76% of the population of Manaus, Brazil, became infec…
RT @Alicia_Smith19: Also, I’m seeing a lot of reports that the Brazil variant is uniquely able to evade natural immunity. One thing I would…
RT @WesPegden: The following study is being widely shared as definitive evidence that 76% of the population of Manaus, Brazil, became infec…
Also, I’m seeing a lot of reports that the Brazil variant is uniquely able to evade natural immunity. One thing I would caution with is that the study on which this claim is made is based on an *extremely* flawed seroprevelqnce study. More info below
@RealYeyoZa I am aware that the seroprevalence study you refer to has been criticised. But there are other data to support it.
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…
RT @WesPegden: The following study is being widely shared as definitive evidence that 76% of the population of Manaus, Brazil, became infec…
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
“O estudo a seguir está sendo amplamente compartilhado como evidência definitiva de que 76% da população de Manaus, Brasil, foi infectada pelo COVID-19. Tópico rápido sobre como colocar este estudo no contexto adequado (e por que outliers são tão popula
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic - https://t.co/1OLnsaGQHR - #datascience
@ThadMichaels This is a very useful thread that is up to date: https://t.co/VJ4oh6ZlnE
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
RT @WesPegden: The following study is being widely shared as definitive evidence that 76% of the population of Manaus, Brazil, became infec…
RT @sailorrooscout: The previous study was debunked last year here by Wes Pegden. Please do be sure to read this thread in its entirety as…
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
There's uncertainty over just how much more transmissible P.1 is, and how much it evades cross-immunity from prior infection, no doubt. For anyone skeptical these changes are happening at all based on a small Manaus first wave, @B_Nelson_Manaus's thread gi
RT @WesPegden: The following study is being widely shared as definitive evidence that 76% of the population of Manaus, Brazil, became infec…
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
RT @mab_sp125: Tenho lido coisas que realmente me assustam. Eu não acreditava de forma alguma que aquele estudo de doadores de plasma pude…
@florian_krammer @Smashit151 @Parents_Utd @itosettiMD_MBA @NHSSTAFFCOVID19 @UKActionteam @dgurdasani1 @DmodosCutter @LongCovidKids @TigressEllie @redflag3rd This thread sounds very complete. https://t.co/l5xXuhVZOf
RT @ArisKatzourakis: I am seeing a lot of confused and mistaken critiques of the attack rate that was estimated for Manaus, by Buss et al.…